NOAA HMT research and applications were well represented at the
93rd American Meteorological Society's Annual Meeting in Austin, TX 6-10
January 2013.
HMT-researchers presented eight oral presentations and three
posters over the 5 day period. These HMT-focused presentations ranged from
preliminary results from the Atmospheric River Retrospective Forecasting
Experiment (ARRFEX), to preparations for HMT-Southeast, and an invited
presentation on Testbeds that highlighted HMT. They cover:
emerging scientific results, evaluations of forecasts,testing of new tools for forecasting,
transitions to forecast operations, and lessons learned from HMT related to Testbeds generally.
Presenters and co-authors represented several organizations that are
collaborating on NOAA HMT research and applications, including significant
efforts supported by NOAA/USWRP: NOAA/ESRL/PSD/Water Cycle Branch, NOAA/ESRL/GSD,
NOAA/NWS/NCEP/Hydrometeorological Prediction Center, NOAA/NWS/Office of Hydrology,
NSF/NCAR, CIRES, CIRA, and the Developmental Testbed Center.
Recorded presentations will be available by late February 2013 on the AMS website.
Oral and Poster Presentations
- Transitioning Research to Operations at NCEP's Hydrometeorological Prediction Center — by Faye E. Barthold, NOAA/NWS and I.M. Systems Group, Inc., College Park, MD; and D. R. Novak, M. J. Bodner, and T. E. Workoff (poster)
- HMT-West Lessons Learned II: Use of MET for Evaluation and Diagnostics During Forecast Experiments — by Tara L. Jensen, NCAR/RAL, Boulder, CO; and E. I. Tollerud, B. J. Etherton, J. H. Gotway, P. Oldenburg, T. L. Fowler, B. Brown, S. Stoytchev, and L. E. Coco (talk)
- A high-resolution, event-based modeling framework for understanding the impact of climate change on hydrometeorological extreme events — by Kelly M. Mahoney, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and V. L. Sankovich, R. J. Caldwell, M. A. Alexander, J. D. Scott, and J. Barsugli (talk)
- Understanding forecast errors in extreme precipitation events in the Southeast U.S. — by Kelly M. Mahoney, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and B. J. Moore, E. Sukovich, and R. Cifelli (poster)
- A functionally similar environment for testing and evaluation of community advances in ensemble numerical weather prediction — by Eugene Mirvis, NCAR; and T. L. Jensen and B. J. Etherton (talk)
- Extreme precipitation events in the Southeast United States: Climatology, environmental properties, and predictability — by Benjamin J. Moore, CIRES/University of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and K. M. Mahoney, E. Sukovich, and R. Cifelli (talk)
- A Whirl-Wind Testbed Tour: First Stop, HMT, by F. Martin Ralph, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO (invited talk)
- NOAA's Hydrometeorological Testbed : A Decade of Research and Its Impact on Operational Decision Making — by David W. Reynolds, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and T. L. Schneider, L. J. Schick, D. R. Novak, and F. M. Ralph (talk)
- Evaluating 11 Years of Quantitative Precipitation Forecast Performance for Extreme Events — by Ellen Sukovich, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and F. M. Ralph, D. R. Novak, F. E. Barthold, and D. W. Reynolds (poster)
- HMT-West lessons learned—I: Appropriate QPF verification techniques — by Edward Tollerud, NOAA/FSL, Boulder, CO; and T. L. Jensen, P. Oldenburg, T. L. Fowler, S. Stoytchev, and B. G. Brown (talk)
- Observing and Communicating Information About Nonbrightband Rain and Snow Level to Forecasters in the Western U.S.: Two Successful R2O Projects from NOAA's HMT — by Allen B. White, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and P. J. Neiman, D. W. Reynolds, and F. M. Ralph (talk)
- Initial Results from the Atmospheric River Retrospective Forecasting Experiment: Forecasting West-Coast Heavy Precipitation Events — by Thomas E. Workoff, Systems Research Group, Inc. and NOAA/NWS/NCEP, College Park, MD; and E. Sukovich, B. J. Moore, M. J. Bodner, F. E. Barthold, and D. R. Novak (talk)